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Ethereum price prediction for October stays bullish above $2,445, the support ETH needs to hold to keep its August breakout intact
ETH has yet to break cleanly through a rising trendline near $2,700, trading at $2,662.58 after pulling back to the line from a September peak near $2,800. The trendline runs back through the April high, and price has hovered around it for more than a week
Below price, the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA), a trend line that weights recent prices more heavily, sits at $2,616.57. The 50-day EMA at $2,445.18 and the Supertrend at $2,439.02 form the next cushion, about 8% under price
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The Supertrend, a trend tool that trails price and flips when the trend turns, has stayed in buy mode since July. ETH trades above all four EMAs, and the 100-day at $2,280.93 now sits above the 200-day at $2,267.02
ETH has closed October higher in seven of 11 years since 2015, with an average return of 5.71% and a median of only 1.44%. A few large years, including 42.8% in 2021 and 24.8% in 2015, lift the average, so the median is the better guide. The last two Octobers both finished lower, at 7.15% in 2025 and 3.16% in 2024
September adds context. ETH is up 8.01% this month in a month that has averaged an 8.72% loss. Applied to $2,662.58, the median October return implies about $2,701 and the average implies about $2,815, both historical references rather than targets
$ETH has been moving around the $2,650-$2,700 range, with price still below the $2,750-$2,800 resistance area.Today is also the monthly close, and September could end up being ETH’s strongest September since 2016.Meanwhile, ETH shorts on Bitfinex have jumped from around 771… pic.twitter.com/EdkkRN3eNK
Trader Julian said ETH has been moving between $2,650 and $2,700, still below a $2,750 to $2,800 resistance area. He pointed to Bitfinex, where ETH short positions rose from about 771 ETH to more than 101,000 ETH in two weeks. Shorts are bets on a falling price, so a break above resistance could force them to buy back and push price higher, which is his read rather than a confirmed setup
Julian also said Wednesday’s monthly close could make this ETH’s strongest September since 2016. The CryptoRank table supports that, showing September 2026 at +8.01% against +13.3% in 2016 and lower figures in every year since
NEW: $ETH FLIPS $BTC TO BECOME THE MARKET WITH THE HIGHEST OPEN INTEREST ON @HyperliquidX pic.twitter.com/sygw6KhLjQ
Aztec Labs CEO Joe Andrews told Milk Road host John Gillan that zk.money, a private payments app built on Aztec’s privacy-focused Ethereum layer 2, goes live this week. Key points from the interview
Andrews said Aztec settles on Ethereum rather than its own layer 1 because that is where the most economic activity sits, adding that “privacy enables products rather than privacy is the product.” He is promoting his own company’s launch, and nothing in the interview links zk.money to ETH’s price
ETH holds the 20-day EMA at $2,617 and closes a day above the $2,700 trendline. A push through the $2,750 to $2,800 resistance area would open $3,000 and could force Bitfinex shorts to cover, according to Julian’s read
ETH loses $2,617 and a rejection at the trendline turns into a slide toward the 50-day EMA at $2,445, where the Supertrend at $2,439 also sits. A daily close below both would flip the Supertrend to a sell signal and expose the 100-day EMA at $2,281
ETH could extend toward $2,800 and then $3,000 in October if it holds above $2,445 and clears the $2,700 trendline. A daily close below the 50-day EMA at $2,445 and the Supertrend at $2,439 would put the 100-day EMA at $2,281 in play
$3,000 is possible but not the base case, since it needs a gain of about 12.7% from $2,662.58 and a clean break of the $2,800 September high. Three of the 11 Octobers since 2015 gained that much, against a median of 1.44%. $4,000 would need about 50%, more than any October in the table, where the best was 42.8% in 2021
Yes, if it loses the 20-day EMA at $2,617 and the trendline keeps rejecting price. That is a drop of about 6.1%, and three of the 11 Octobers since 2015 fell by more than that, in 2025, 2018 and 2016. The 50-day EMA at $2,445 is the next support below $2,500
ETH closed October higher in seven of 11 years from 2015 through 2025, with an average gain of 5.71% and a median of 1.44%. The last two Octobers were both down, at 7.15% in 2025 and 3.16% in 2024
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