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Optimism drops 12% - Why falling on-chain activity puts OP at risk - AMBCrypto

Reviewed by Reviewed by Jacob Thomas Updated 23:00 EDT October 7, 2026 Share Share Share Back to Top Optimism [OP] was not spared by the capital outflow that the crypto market has seen in the past day, with $91.76 billion leaving the market. As a result, OP fell 12% at press time

Fundamentally, there are factors that could be attributed to the recent loss. One is the on-chain activity and volume of trading activity that has been on a declining streak over the past couple of days

There’s been a capital exit that is presently ongoing in the market, with roughly $14.33 million exiting the total value locked (TVL), according to DeFiLlama. TVL has been declining since October 5th, with a current value of $485.95 billion

When there’s a decline in TVL over 36 hours, it’s a sign that investors may be anticipating a short-term decline in the asset. The most evident reason for this drop has been the volume activity across decentralized exchanges on the OP mainnet

The data shows that while volume across these DEXes peaked on September 3 at about $495 million, it has since declined notably to its normalized level of roughly $21 million, according to data from DeFiLlama

Declining activity at this scale often implies that there’s less usage across the chain, as well as less utility for its native OP token

There’s potential for a possible rebound for OP in the near term, depending solely on how price performs at its present level, where it currently trades

Chart analysis indicates that OP has now dropped into a demand zone on the chart that played a role in the asset’s most recent upswing. If this demand level holds, there’s a chance the price rallies back to its previous local high on the chart at $0.15

It’s important to watch the Accumulation/Distribution indicator to track the potential for a possible rebound in price. This is a volume-weighted indicator that tracks whether investors are buying or selling their holdings into the market

At the time of writing, the A/D indicator has dropped to roughly -12.8 million in weighted volume on the chart. If this drop continues, there’s a potential that the price invalidates the demand zone, trending further lower

For now, examining the A/D could provide the needed insight into whether the market sees a rebound or further downside on the table

Market sentiment, according to CoinMarketCap, has remained neutral. This implies that investors are not decisive on whether the present bearish condition would persist, and neither are they optimistic about a potential bullish takeover

While there’s been no confirmation yet that there’s a rebound on the table, investors sitting on the sidelines may not be great for a rebound. But this remains to watch, as a change in sentiment may precede a price trend

Olayiwola Dolapo is a Crypto Research Analyst at AMBCrypto, driven by a mission to make the digital asset space more transparent and understandable for all. His journey was catalyzed by an early experience in the market that underscored the importance of deep, foundational knowledge—a principle that now guides his professional work

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