Coinbase Markets stated that expectations for a short-term upside in the Bitcoin options market have increased significantly
Despite its recent recovery, the leading cryptocurrency Bitcoin is struggling to sustainably surpass the $87,000 level. Continuing its sideways movement in the $85,000-$86,000 range, expectations for an upward trend in BTC are increasing
At this point, the latest analysis comes from Coinbase Markets analysts. The assessment from account X indicates a significant increase in short-term bullish expectations in the Bitcoin options market
Coinbase analysts noted that the implied volatility of one-week BTC call options was 2.1 points higher than that of put options with the same expiry date
This difference corresponds to a 91% share in the historical distribution. This chart indicates strong demand from investors for call options aimed at profiting from Bitcoin’s rise
However, Coinbase Markets noted that it is not yet clear whether this pattern reflects a rational bullish outlook or excessive one-sided demand for call options, emphasizing that this situation should be closely monitored
While Bitcoin is struggling to break above $87,000, purchases by large investors are attracting attention. Popular analyst Ali Martinez notes in his analysis that whales have accumulated over 14,335 BTC since October 1st, and these assets are worth approximately $1.22 billion at current prices. The analyst suggests this movement could indicate positioning for a potential rise towards $100,000
According to the analyst, who also considered the price, BTC has been moving in the $83,000-$86,700 range for the past two weeks, and on-chain data indicates a strong support level has formed in the $83,300-$84,600 region. Approximately 1.59 million BTC have changed hands in this area
At this point, the analyst stated that if $86,700 is surpassed and support holds, there is no similar supply concentration zone up to $105,000. He added that whale accumulation also reflects this situation, and if support remains strong and BTC breaks through resistance at the upper end of the range, $100,000 could be a realistic target
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